An area of convection (or thunderstorm activity) is being closely monitored by the National Hurricane Center for possible tropical development within the next 48 hours. We’re watching it closely as well here at WRUF for potential impact to Floridians over the weekend. While chances are not real high that this disturbance (referred to as 91L by the NHC) will fully develop into a tropical cyclone, there will likely be some impact across the state.
Areas along the Atlantic Coast from Cape Canaveral south could experience some higher seas, a high rip current risk, water spouts, and periods of heavy rain. All locations along Florida’s Atlantic coast are likely to see an increased rip current threat and a few rounds of heavy rain. Locations further inland, mainly north of a Tampa to Miami line will see scattered strong thunderstorms on Saturday, followed by a steadier and heavier rain Saturday night and/or early Sunday depending on where the center of this disturbance moves.
Model data is still coming in to our weather center on potential rainfall amounts (see later posts), but some locations across the state stand a decent chance at 1 to 3 inches of rain over the weekend.
WRUF will have constant weather updates on this possible storm, along with the latest on Tropical Storm Ernesto, all weekend long at 20 past the hour or on twitter @gatorweather.