WRUF Weather

Rafael Now a Hurricane, but Not a Concern to U.S.

Rafael became a the season’s ninth hurricane Monday evening.  Much like nearly every storm since late August, it will soon move further away from the U.S. mainland and out to sea.  This is largely due to a persistent upper-level wind pattern that continues to steer tropical storms on a more northeastward track rather than to the northwest.  These winds are also now sending cold fronts across the state about every 3 to 5 days, which will further ensure Florida is left alone from tropical activity in the near future.

The first of two fronts arrives early Tuesday morning, blessing North-Central Florida with a dry and seasonably cool air mass.  Daytime highs Tuesday will likely only top out in the upper 70s to near 80, despite abundant sunshine.  A light north breeze will also add to the comfort factor, making it one of the more pleasant days we’ve seen this fall.

It won’t be another cold front that comes through on Wednesday, but it may seem like it.  Cloud cover is expected to thicken up ahead of a disturbance coming out of the Gulf of Mexico and passing well to our south.  The clouds will likely come in around sunrise, which will in turn limit daytime heating after what will be a cooler start.  Wednesday highs may only reach the middle to upper 70s in some areas.

The second cold front this week is expected to arrive on Friday.  Considerable uncertainty exists on how much moisture will be available ahead of it for rain, followed by how much cooler the coming weekend will be.  At this time, we believe there is at least a small chance for showers and thunderstorms Friday, followed by another surge of cooler and drier air for the weekend.  This would be great news for Gator fans, who have endured three home games already this season with summer-like oppressive heat and humidity.  We will have updates throughout the week on that Game Day Forecast.

The Bottom Line

It’s the time of year wear skies and temperature are changing more frequently, so here’s an overview of the next six days for Gainesville:

  • Tue: Sunny & pleasant, 81°
  • Wed: Cloudy & cool, 78°
  • Thu: Partly sunny, 84°
  • Fri: Sct’d t-storms, 82°
  • Sat: Sunny & cooler, 78°
  • Sun: Mostly sunny, 80°
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