An easterly breeze has been prevalent nearly every day in Gainesville for the past week. This has delivered seasonably warm temperatures with lower humidity. The conditions have been ideal for outdoor activities, especially over the past weekend.
This all changes Monday as the winds shift to the south and pull in some deeper moisture out of both the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic. At the same time, a disturbance in the upper levels of the atmosphere will be moving into The Southeast, providing more support for organized showers and thunderstorms. Later in the week, a stronger area of low pressure is forecast to stall over the Central U.S., and the southwest flow around this feature will pull even deeper amounts of moisture across the Sunshine State. The result will be limited sunshine and much higher chances for afternoon thunderstorms Tuesday and Wednesday. A temporary decrease in the rain chances is expected Thursday, followed by possibly one more round of active weather on Friday when a cold front approaches. There is still some question as to exactly when this front will pass, but cooler and drier weather is in the forecast over the coming weekend.
THE BOTTOM LINE
- Monday: Showers or thunderstorms are possible at any time, but most likely in the afternoon. Some of the storms could be strong, especially in Marion or Putnam Counties and points south.
- Tuesday: Mainly late-afternoon thunderstorms are expected for interior sections, with likely an extended period of sunshine in the morning and resulting warmer temperatures.
- Wednesday: A disturbance moving in off the Gulf of Mexico will likely trigger widespread rain and some thunder, possibly arriving as early as the morning hours. Temperatures are forecast to be cooler because of the clouds and rain.
- Thursday: Rain chances diminish, as much of North-Central Florida will be in between weather systems. However, spotty thunderstorms will still be possible in the afternoon hours.
- Friday: A cold front and developing area of low pressure off the Atlantic Coast are expected to trigger one final round of rain and thunder, moving out and making way for a drier and cooler weekend.