An unusual June cold front will approach North Florida today and likely trigger a round of strong thunderstorms. A widespread outbreak of severe weather, such as the one that occurred across the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic states Wednesday and Thursday, is NOT expected. However, the dynamics are certainly there for a few storms that develop along this front in North Florida to produce minor wind damage, small hail, and frequent cloud-to-ground lightning. The timing of the frontal passage is a bit in question at this point, and this will play a significant role in where the strongest cells develop and/or move throughout the afternoon hours. Current model data suggests that morning clouds may also play a role in mitigating the severity of the afternoon storms by preventing temperatures to warm up as fast ahead of the front. Due to the uncertainties both of these situations present, look for this post to be updated later tonight or early Friday morning with the very latest.
THE BOTTOM LINE
- T-storms are most likely from Noon to 4pm Friday
- Strongest activity expected in Marion and Putnam counties by late afternoon
- Threats include minor wind damage and small hail