The storm system that has troubled the central U.S. over the past few days with dozens of tornadoes will begin to have influences on our skies this afternoon. Severe weather is certainly not expected to be as widespread as it has been to our north, but locally strong and isolated severe storms are possible the next four afternoons as a cold front crawls this way.
Storms over the panhandle from this morning continue to weaken on their approach. However, the added energy and moisture from this long-lived complex is aiding in the development of new storms near both sea breezes as they march inland this afternoon. Latest model data suggests there could be some interaction between these boundaries, possibly triggering a line or cluster of stronger storms between 2 and 6 pm this afternoon. The most-favored areas for potential stronger activity is near or just east of the US Highway 301 corridor. The storms will be capable of 40 to 50 mph wind gusts, frequent lightning and brief heavy rain. The overall storm motion will be slowly to the north-northeast at around 15 mph. Most of the thunderstorm activity should push well east of the I-75 corridor (including Lake City, Gainesville and Ocala) by early evening. However, it is also possible that a few showers or isolated thunderstorms may redevelop and linger through sunset depending on the interactions of the rain-cooled boundaries from the earlier storms.