An upper level trough approaching North Florida will pull deeper tropical moisture in over our area that will push rain chances up significantly this weekend and into the start of the last week of July.
Ridging over the area will keep most rain chances rather spotty and brief, with the highest chances to the North and West. Some storms could be accompanied by a brief downpour and a few rumbles of thunder, but overall it should shape up to be a typical Floridian summer day, with plenty of time to enjoy the outdoors. It will be hot though, so drink plenty of water if you’re outside. As always, don’t forget you can track any storms that do form live on our interactive radar here on our website.
Deeper moisture moves in as the trough settles right over our area, and an area of low pressure forms to our north. With the increased moisture and more lifting and instability from the trough, coverage of rain and storms will be more widespread, and starting earlier in the day. Gainesville and Alachua county could see a shower or storm as early as 11AM on Sunday, with periods of heavy rainfall lasting through 7PM. Some storms could become strong, with heavy downpours, gusty winds and lightning, but the main threat will be heavy downpours and localized flooding. Monday will be a similar story, with a higher threat of stronger thunderstorms.
The trough lingers Tuesday, with rain chances remaining elevated. However, rain chances will diminish and return to typical late afternoon pop up thunderstorm activity Wednesday through Saturday.